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Amazon.com Review
Writings on the year 2000 (Y2K) problem, or the "millennium bug" as some would have it, have been limited to highly technical analyses of specific problems and their solutions. Very little attention has been paid to how the Y2K problem will affect the lives of average people and everyday systems, even though many prognosticators believe this is where the problem will have the largest impact. In Time Bomb 2000: What the Year 2000 Computer Crisis Means to You, Edward and Jennifer Yourdon do just that by presenting a collection of scenarios ranging from the best we can hope for to the worst cases. Each chapter investigates a different area of computing and the possible effects of this disaster on each. From home PCs to world financial networks, the Yourdons explore a variety of "domino effects" that January 1, 2000, could trigger and the necessary time, effort, and cost to fix the aftermath. The impacts on real life could be anywhere between annoying and catastrophic, and the authors examine each extreme. Each chapter contains "fallback advice," describing the amount of time required to repair these systems. (The authors liken Y2K to a hurricane--it only lasts a day, but requires a year of cleanup.) Although the Yourdons insist that their overall view is optimistic, it's hard not to feel doomed when reading some of the worst-case scenarios brought on by the year 2000 problem. While Time Bomb 2000 is meant to be an alert, it's not time to start stockpiling canned goods yet, and we can probably still party like it's 1999 right on schedule. However, we should remain extremely mindful of what may await us the next morning.
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From Library Journal
Optimists may be gleefully eyeing the approaching millennium with great expectations of the innovation that will undoubtedly accompany its dawning, but those with perhaps a more grounded gaze see January 1, 2000, as the day of reckoning for computers and their infinite applications everywhere. The Yourdons (Edward is the author of 25 computer books) offer a doomsday scenario of what life might be like if techno gurus aren't able to correct, on a universal scale, an oversight born when programmers failed to see the significance of the double zeros at the beginning of year 2000. Will ATMs work on January 1 of that year? Will medical devices work? Social Security checks arrive? Will basic services like electricity, water, mail, and food delivery be affected? No one is claiming to know everything for sure, but the Yourdons' harrowing account of what life could be like if computers all shut down at once is both frightening and useful for the solutions it offers. For all computer collections.?Geoff Rotunno, "Tri-Mix" Magazine, Goleta, Cal.Copyright 1998 Reed Business Information, Inc.
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Product details
Series: Yourdon Press Computing Series
Paperback: 448 pages
Publisher: Prentice Hall Ptr; 1 edition (December 24, 1997)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 0130952842
ISBN-13: 978-0130952844
Product Dimensions:
0.8 x 5.5 x 8.5 inches
Shipping Weight: 8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review:
3.1 out of 5 stars
22 customer reviews
Amazon Best Sellers Rank:
#11,979,812 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
I bought this book a year ago to find out what I was up against when trying to deprogram a friend who had the heck scared out of him by Y2K. After looking at the book for an hour and realizing it was based entirely on conjecture and scare psychology, I sent it back (very thankful for Amazon's generous return policy). This book no doubt mostly appealed to paranoid people who were already distrustful of technology. Now that the event has past and nothing of note happened, I am sure there will be a new crisis some budding author will wield to manipulate this same sort of person out of their money. If you were duped once, please don't let it happen again by falling for the "insurance" argument used by this author (be prepared "just in case"). Remember, if the premise is unsubstantiated, it is not logical to act upon. One could make the same, equally "plausible" argument about preparing for an alien invasion--just in case.
Call it Y2k. Call it the Millennium Bug. Call it the end of civilization as we know it. The media is full of dire Y2k horror stories. Y2K consultants and Cobol programmers over-hype the problem, while governments and industry organizations downplay it. Everyone seems to have an opinion on the problem, whether or not they are well informed. It will either be one of the greatest challenges the computing industry has ever faced, or a non-event that scarcely causes people to raise an eyebrow. That's where "Time Bomb 2000 : Revised and Updated" comes in.In this New York Times Bestseller, Yourdon & Yourdon present a balanced viewpoint, looking at the Y2K problem from many different angles. They are careful to avoid over-sensationalizing the problem, but neither do they downplay or trivialize the seriousness of Y2K, and how it can affect real people and businesses.Each chapter of the book addresses a specific area which may be affected by the Y2K problem. The authors carefully cover each area in great detail, discussing the implications for the industry and for those who rely upon it.Such areas include banking and business, education, food, government, jobs, postal services, telephone, transportation, utilities, and the international implications of Y2K.The authors also point out an important factor that we should all be mindful of - you can still be affected by a Y2K crisis, even if you neither own nor use a computer. Breakdowns in essential services, such as power, banking and food distribution may have disastrous implications. While this prospect seems rather pessimistic, 'Time Bomb 2000' is packed with advice on how to best prepare for a Y2K crisis. Each industry is given specific attention, based on a two-day disruption, a one month disruption of service, and a one year failure.This book is an invaluable guide to the Y2K crisis, and offers an objective look at what might occur. The authors are careful to point out that such dire predictions may not eventuate, and encourage the reader to think carefully and objectively about the issues discussed in the book. It also includes an clear guide to the technical reasons behind Y2K, and excellent pointers to online resources so that readers can access the latest research and discussion about the millenium bug. All in all, "Time Bomb 2000" is an invaluable and objective guide to the Y2K crisis. If you're interested in the implications of Y2K on you, your career, or your family, this guide to the millenium bug is for you!
When I wrote my own self-sufficiency books a couple years ago (f.x., HOW TO DEVELOP A LOW-COST FAMILY FOOD STORAGE SYSTEM), I was already pretty well "into" preparedness. Sure, we had ice storms, bad weather spells where we couldn't have gotten down our road in a tank, and floods that blocked passage for weeks on end.....But, I never, never, thought that some minor computer glitch could end up being the Problem of the Millennium. In fact, up until about 18 days ago, I was proudly telling friends that the whole y2k thing was nothing more than a giant bogus media frolic, trotted out on slow news days to hook the masses so they wouldn't switch channels during commercials. I have suffered a rude awakening. The Yourdon's book has been the route to this rather shocking turn of mind -- and it is because the book was written for ME (and those like me) who have a smattering of knowledge about computer function, but no real idea of where the y2k problem is going to lead. Now, unfortunately, I have an idea of where it's going, and I kinda wish I was still in blissful ignorance...sorta. Preparedness is a lifestyle, after all is said and done -- and prepared is prepared. I just thought the calamity I was preparing for was of a more earth-changing nature, something impossibly large and grand, on the order of an asteroid or comet striking the earth.........but all it is going to be is the consequence of a series of tiny decisions made by a pack of computer nerds two decades ago. Funny how things work out. But, TIME IS WASTING!!! You need this book TODAY! You still have a short time to prepare!
I know that sounds superficial, but she, like most other people I know, just doesn't have a clue about the year-2000 issue. This book will help. I've worked with computers for 30 years, and I think of the 90s as a kind of golden age: quick and affordable healthcare if I get sick, television, the internet, travel, a fun way to make a living. But now, as I work on a year-2000 conversion project, I wonder what kind of civilization we're looking at two years away. There's a kind of eerie calm before the apocalypse.I hesitated to give this book a 10. It isn't a page-turner. You have to really work at it. But it's very carefully written, and in it's pre-publication incarnation on the internet it elicited lots of good comment from knowleable people, and much of this is now part of the book. The Yourdons touch on things which affect us in major ways -- utilities, transportation, banking, government services, and so on. My guess is that Time Bomb 2000 will be one of the best, maybe the best, of a glut of titles that are beginning to come out now that the rest of the world is catching on.Time Bomb is an excellent non-technical presentation about a difficult and painful subject. It's great that someone who understands technology and computers can write so well about social issues as Ed Yourdon (never mind that a techie can write well at all). The Yourdons are starting to shake things up.
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